The day that America has been waiting for is finally approaching, and for this week, we are going to give our final predictions for the outcome of the election come Tuesday, November 6. With all that has happened, each candidate has had their high’s and low’s on the campaign trail, so here are our views on what is going to happen in less than four days.
Make sure to comment with your thoughts and questions!
By Emily Cox
On Thursday night, early voting in Tennessee closed. Now Election Day is looming in the very near future. I’m quite excited to glue myself to the couch Tuesday evening and flip through news channels as the results begin to stream in late that evening. I’m sure that at some point I will call my mom, a poll worker, to get a firsthand account of my hometown election. But there isn’t much else for me to look forward to besides the results. The excitement of Election Day is partially over for me. Earlier in the week, I rounded up a stamp and mailed my absentee ballot so I could vote in my first-ever Presidential election. I’m proud to proclaim I didn’t toe any party line on my ballot, although I’d say it’s overtly obvious who received my vote for President.
For many Americans unlike myself, the voting process is far from over. And because of that, I’m doing my best to keep up with voter polls and early election results. Unexcitingly, the election outcome in many states is already predetermined. The Northeast will turn a magnificent shade of blue, as will the West Coast, giving Obama the gift of a whopping 55 electoral votes from California alone. Tennessee will inevitably go red, as will the entirety of the South, save perhaps North Carolina or Virginia. North Carolina seems to be leaning more Conservative at this late point – 49%/47% in favor of Romney – but there are always Election Day upsets. I’m willing to bet that Virginia goes blue for Obama, and after his excellently witty “Romnesia” speech at George Mason University, I can see why Virginian Democrats are successfully rallying the troops. Florida is always a key swing state, but my prediction is that it too will follow other Southern states and vote Conservative. Earlier in the election there was essentially a tie in that state, but most of the latest voter polls indicate that Romney is pulling ahead. Last, we must not forget Ohio, which is almost certainly Obama’s state this year.
Sometimes it’s hard to tell who has accurate information about the election. Nationally, Gallup says Obama is up by three points; Pew says Romney is leading by three points. Many predictions indicate a very close race, but I believe the Democratic lead will be comfortable. My prediction map shows the president winning 290-248. There have been worries about elections in the Northeast, where Hurricane Sandy has affected some communities and polling places. There may be a lower voter turnout in these states, but we have to remember that lower turnout does not indicate a different vote-share proportion. Electoral votes from the Northeast will still be going to Obama.
The Obama campaign has had its high and low points. Personally, my favorite speech of the entire season was Obama’s “Romnesia” rally, which took place shortly after the last debate. It was humorous and allowed Obama to showcase his personality in a way that often doesn’t come through in debate and other public appearances. But the speech wasn’t just lighthearted, wasted words. It also allowed the President to point out major boons he has procured for the American public while in office, such as across the board health coverage for individuals with preexisting medical conditions.
On the other hand, I would be the first to admit that perhaps Obama was too confident in his campaigning abilities and winning personality when going into the first debate. He made the mistake of dismissing his opponent as unthreatening, and he paid the price by giving a mediocre performance and underutilizing a valuable resource for gathering votes. I’ve also been disappointed with factual discrepancies from both campaigns, especially in attack comments against the other candidate. But I suppose this is a product of any election, and I won’t judge the candidates too harshly for it. Americans have the ability to fact check, so informed voters will hopefully see past statements that are not valid.
As a whole, I think the debates have been a great success for Obama because they point out the consistency we see in our president. His performance has varied, but his platform has not. He has unvaryingly expressed his detailed plans for tax reform, health care, job creation, energy independence, and foreign policy. There is no danger in discovering another face of Barrack Obama; who he was in the past, he is today. As a young college graduate, he was a community organizer – an advocate for underserved and overlooked populations on Chicago’s South Side. He was later a civil rights lawyer, a professor, and a Senator. He has spent his life in public service, and he understands and advocates for the side of America that Mitt Romney has never experienced. I think this is his most attractive quality in the eyes of the average American citizen.
I believe that far beyond what principles we claim and words we spout, our choices and actions are the best indicators of where our values lay. And this is exactly why Obama is going to sweep Romney in Tuesday’s election.
By Collier Roberts
So here we go, ladies and gentlemen. There are fewer than four days left in the 2012 United States presidential election between incumbent Barack Obama and GOP challenger Mitt Romney, and the race is closer than ever before. Next Tuesday, in contrast to that Tuesday back in 2008, will not be anywhere close to an “in-the-bag” victory for President Obama. Throughout this campaign, Romney has had his share of ups and downs, but when it comes down to it, voters have made up their minds and come Tuesday, I think many people are going to be surprised.
What America needs to realize is that next Tuesday, it is going to come down to the independents. Polls will be polls and predictions will be predictions, but since the projected outcome has gone back and forth too often these past weeks, it is impossible to tell what is going to happen Nov. 6. Everyone predicted that Obama was more than likely going to take the lead and run with it, but when the debates rolled around, those who were on the fence about Romney and Ryan were encouraged to see how presidential Romney was already becoming. The debates showed America that Romney wasn’t going to back down in his fight for the White House, and no matter how much Obama redeemed himself — or failed to — people are going to remember how Obama fell hard in that first debate. Emily did a great job in pointing out the predictions by state and region as they relate to the Electoral College representation. As she noted, it is hard to tell who is accurate when it comes to those predictions. All we have is Nov. 6 on the horizon, and at this point anything can happen.
Romney has capitalized in every way that he could have, with the exception of a few times, but the media has unfortunately masked a lot of the issues of the serious mishaps of the Obama administration. With all of the information we have on the consulate attack in Benghazi, America has been lied to and cheated because of the media and their “covering-up” of sorts with the incident. Romney, unfortunately, did not capitalize on this in the debates, and this won’t be a deterring factor for Obama and his team. That is not OK, in my opinion. Obama, as much as Democrats will not admit, has run his campaign on blame. Do we want the leader of the free world to mask his own mistakes with blame? From the beginning, Romney has outlined his plan for America, and Obama has outlined his plan by deferring.
Another highlight of Romney’s campaign was his lighthearted comedic speech at the Al Smith Dinner, a white-tie event that is a fundraiser for Catholic Charities USA and a perennial stop on the campaign trail for the two major party presidential candidates. The two candidates sat on either side of Cardinal Timothy Dolan, archbishop of New York. I know Romney nailed his debates, but he seriously nailed this speech. I didn’t know he could joke like that, and all the while taking stabs at President Obama were valid and got the audience engaged. The dinner wasn’t meant to be a serious campaign rally or anything like that, but what Romney did was incredible and had a bigger positive impact than people might think.
When it comes down to it, Mitt Romney has proved himself to be the best candidate for the job of the president of the United States. He is a businessman and knows how to create a strong economy and a prosperous future for America that Obama has fallen short on numerous times. When you can’t get the job done, it is time to hand off the baton and let someone else do it, and that someone else is Gov. Mitt Romney. On Nov. 6, Mitt Romney will get the vote that will allow him to Romney take office and get America back to the great nation that has been lost, but will be found again under the Romney-Ryan administration. So in closing, my final prediction is that we are going to see Mitt Romney win by a much larger margin than the polls are predicting. Independents know they have the upper hand right now, and because of Romney’s past as a politician, businessman and candidate for president, he will take the victory come Tuesday and restore the greatest country in the world. God bless Mitt Romney in these final days, and God bless the United States of America.